Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Marie Bouzkova Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Marie Bouzkova Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Marie Bouzkova Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Marie Bouzkova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Marie Bouzkova Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Marie Bouzkova | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Marie Bouzkova Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Marie Bouzkova Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Marie Bouzkova Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Marie Bouzkova Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Marie Bouzkova Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Marie Bouzkova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Marie Bouzkova Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Marie Bouzkova Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of wimbledon wta: tyra caterina grant vs marie bouzkova. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Tyra Caterina Grant and Marie Bouzkova in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will re…
Methodology
This page reviews Wimbledon WTA: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Marie Bouzkova across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Wimbledon WTA: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Marie Bouzkova on PolyGram
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