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Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade

Five-platform snapshot of "Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade Set 1 Winner 100% Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade 83% Completed Match 50% Volume: $336K Liquidity: $478K Closes: 5 Sept 2026
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Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade Set 1 Winner100%
Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade83%
Completed Match50%
Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade Set 2 Winner50%
Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade Match O/U 21.550%
Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade Match O/U 22.550%
Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade Match O/U 23.550%
Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of kingston 2: aidan mayo vs andres andrade. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Aidan Mayo and Andres Andrade in the Kingston 2, originally scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

This page reviews Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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