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US Open WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Diane Parry

How the prediction-market book is pricing "US Open WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Diane Parry" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

US Open WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Diane Parry Set 1 O/U 8.5 90% US Open WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Diane Parry Set 1 O/U 9.5 90% US Open WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Diane Parry Set 1 Winner 83% US Open WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Diane Parry 65% Volume: $295K Liquidity: $94K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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US Open WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Diane Parry

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Diane Parry Set 1 O/U 8.590%
US Open WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Diane Parry Set 1 O/U 9.590%
US Open WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Diane Parry Set 1 Winner83%
US Open WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Diane Parry65%
US Open WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Diane Parry Match O/U 21.565%
US Open WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Diane Parry Match O/U 22.559%
Completed Match50%
US Open WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Diane Parry Set 2 Winner50%
US Open WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Diane Parry Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Diane Parry Game Spread +/-1.550%
US Open WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Diane Parry Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Diane Parry Set 1 O/U 10.550%
US Open WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Diane Parry Match O/U 23.550%
US Open WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Diane Parry Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Diane Parry Total Sets: O/U 2.548%
US Open WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Diane Parry Set Handicap +/-1.513%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 90% YES probability for US Open WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Diane Parry. This market refers to the tennis match between Viktorija Golubic and Diane Parry in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Viktorija Gol…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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