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Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-2.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+2.5) 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Volume: $310K Liquidity: $2.2M Closes: 4 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-2.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-4.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-5.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-3.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-6.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-7.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+7.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.590%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-2.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-2.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+2.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-3.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+3.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-4.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+4.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map Handicap: RRQ (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-8.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+8.5)0%

Market context

The Valorant Elimination match between Rex Regum Qeon and EDward Gaming in Esports World Cup Group A has already concluded, with EDward Gaming securing a decisive 2-0 victory over their Indonesian opponents. This result renders the current Polymarket contract, which prices a Rex Regum Qeon win at 0% YES, as a settled and expired instrument rather than a live prediction opportunity. On-chain mechanics using USDC on the Polygon network confirm that conditional tokens for this outcome have zero liquidity, as the underlying event has been verified by VALORANT Esports and Gamers World.

Historical precedents in esports prediction markets show that when a match is fully completed before settlement windows close, markets with 0% implied probability for the losing side become functionally worthless, mirroring cases where teams suffer early elimination in tournament brackets. Similar to the 2025 Esports World Cup where Gen.G Esports defeated EDward Gaming in a straight sweep, once a winner is declared, conditional tokens for the defeated team lose all payout potential, and trading halts immediately. The 0% price reflects this finality, not a speculative assessment of future performance.

Traders should monitor official Esports World Cup 2026 announcements for any rare procedural reversals, though such events are exceptionally uncommon in professional Valorant. Recent coverage from VLR.gg confirms the match score as EDG 0-2, with no indication of delay or cancellation beyond the standard seven-day resolution window. Dependencies include the official settlement timestamp on Polymarket, which will close this contract permanently once the verified result is ingested into the on-chain oracle. No further catalysts exist to alter the outcome, as the match has already been completed and verified.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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