Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Daria Snigur vs Ashlyn Krueger Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Daria Snigur vs Ashlyn Krueger Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Daria Snigur vs Ashlyn Krueger | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Daria Snigur vs Ashlyn Krueger Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Daria Snigur vs Ashlyn Krueger Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Daria Snigur vs Ashlyn Krueger Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Daria Snigur vs Ashlyn Krueger Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Daria Snigur vs Ashlyn Krueger Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Daria Snigur vs Ashlyn Krueger Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Daria Snigur vs Ashlyn Krueger Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Daria Snigur vs Ashlyn Krueger Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Daria Snigur vs Ashlyn Krueger Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Daria Snigur vs Ashlyn Krueger Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Daria Snigur vs Ashlyn Krueger Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of wimbledon wta: daria snigur vs ashlyn krueger. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Snigur and Ashlyn Krueger in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve t…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Wimbledon WTA: Daria Snigur vs Ashlyn Krueger on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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