Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Lanlana Tararudee Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Lanlana Tararudee Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Lanlana Tararudee Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Lanlana Tararudee Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Lanlana Tararudee Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Lanlana Tararudee Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Lanlana Tararudee | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Lanlana Tararudee Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Lanlana Tararudee Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Lanlana Tararudee Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Lanlana Tararudee Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Lanlana Tararudee Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Lanlana Tararudee Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Lanlana Tararudee Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Lanlana Tararudee Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of wimbledon wta: ekaterina alexandrova vs lanlana tararudee. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Ekaterina Alexandrova and Lanlana Tararudee in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market wi…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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